Indiana essentially locked up a College Football Playoff spot and Notre Dame almost certainly clinched a home game in the CFP°®¶¹app™s first round with the reveal of the latest rankings from the committee Tuesday night.
Notre Dame, which finished its regular season with a 49-35 win over USC on Saturday to go 11-1, moved up one spot to No. 4 in the rankings, leaving the Irish with the No. 6 seed in projected bracket and setting up a matchup with 11th-seeded Alabama (9-3) in South Bend if favorites win in the power-conference championship games this weekend.
Indiana, which crushed Purdue 66-0 on Saturday to cap its own 11-1 campaign, moved up one spot to No. 9 in the poll and was seeded 10th, setting up a projected clash with 7th-seeded (ranked 5th) Georgia in a first-round game that would be played in Athens, Georgia. The Bulldogs play in the SEC championship game against Texas on Saturday.
There are a couple of paths to creating a Notre Dame-Indiana matchup in South Bend in the first round. The most simple is for Georgia to beat Texas, which the Bulldogs did 30-15 during the regular season, and favorites win elsewhere during championship week.
Doing so would likely bump the Irish down to the No. 7 seed to face the Hoosiers. Indiana might get dropped down to the No. 11 seed if Clemson beats favored SMU in the Atlantic Coast Conference championship Saturday, but that would depend on the committee not jumping the Hoosiers over the Mustangs, who would fall to 11-2 with the loss. SMU is No. 8, one spot ahead of Indiana, in the current poll.
Miami°®¶¹app™s playoff hopes took an all-but-final nosedive while Alabama°®¶¹app™s got a boost in the last rankings before the 12-team CFP bracket is set next weekend.
The Hurricanes (10-2) moved down six spots to No. 12 °®¶¹app“ the first team out of the projected bracket after suffering their second loss of the season. They are one spot behind the Crimson Tide (9-3), who won last week and moved up two spots to No. 11, where they are projected as the last team in and the fourth from the Southeastern Conference.
To make things worse for the °®¶¹app™Canes, Warde Manuel, selection committee chair and Michigan athletic director, said there was no way for them to leapfrog Alabama since neither team plays next weekend. The odds of them moving up based on lopsided results in the weekend°®¶¹app™s conference title games are virtually zero.
The Miami-Alabama sorting was the strongest indication yet that the selection committee is looking at more than mere wins and losses but also at strength of schedule and other factors that appear to give the SEC an edge.
°®¶¹appœWe obviously feel highly about both teams,°®¶¹app Manuel said. °®¶¹appœWhat it came down to was, Alabama was 3-1 against current Top 25 teams and Miami is 0-1.°®¶¹app
Oregon stayed at No. 1 for the fifth straight week and will head into Saturday°®¶¹app™s Big Ten title game against Penn State as the only undefeated team in big-time college football.
The pairings for college football°®¶¹app™s first 12-team playoff will be set Sunday, the day after the conference title games. The playoffs start Dec. 20, with the title game set for Jan. 20 in Atlanta.
Ohio State moved down four spots to No. 6 after its loss to Michigan.
That bumped Texas up a spot to No. 2, Penn State to No. 3, Notre Dame to No. 4 and Georgia to No. 5.
The selection committee all but designated the Big 12 as a one-bid league, moving Arizona State and Iowa State up only one spot each to Nos. 15 and 16.
The top-five ranked conference champions are guaranteed bids, which means the winner of the Big 12 title game is in even it doesn°®¶¹app™t reach the top 12 °®¶¹app“ another factor in Miami°®¶¹app™s likely ouster.
SMU, on a nine-game winning streak, moved up a notch to No. 8 and is the Atlantic Coast Conference°®¶¹app™s highest-ranked team but is still potentially vulnerable if it loses the title game to No. 17 Clemson.
The crux of this week°®¶¹app™s drama comes from °®¶¹app“ where else? °®¶¹app“ the SEC.
Alabama is only two weeks removed from an ugly 24-3 loss at Oklahoma. The Tide still got better treatment than Miami, which has two losses by less than a touchdown, both of which, Manuel pointed out, came in the last three weeks.
He also said Alabama°®¶¹app™s 6-1 record against winning teams vs. Miami°®¶¹app™s mark of 4-2 played a factor.
Also in the SEC, Mississippi was ranked 13th and South Carolina 14th °®¶¹app“ answering a question of just how deep into the SEC pool the committee was willing to go. Neither team has another chance to build its resume.
Other rankings: No. 7 Tennessee, No. 9 Indiana and No. 10 Boise State. The projected bracket includes four teams each from the Big Ten and SEC and one each from the ACC, Mountain West and Big 12, plus independent Notre Dame.
This week°®¶¹app™s key title games
SEC: This will be awkward for the loser of Texas vs. Georgia. The Longhorns are perched too high to miss the playoff, though a loss would make them 0-2 vs. Georgia and 10-0 against everyone else, and they also have the conference°®¶¹app™s easiest schedule. For Georgia, it would be a third loss, but the committee doesn°®¶¹app™t seem likely to punish the Bulldogs for playing in the title game.
Big 12, Mountain West: The winner of ASU-Iowa State is still likely outside of the group of four conference champs that receive first-round byes unless UNLV upsets Boise State.
ACC: If Clemson beats SMU, it puts the 17th-ranked team in the bracket and makes the ACC a potential snub for the second straight year. (Remember Florida State last season?)
Projected games in the 1st round
Based on this week°®¶¹app™s rankings. Teams listed by seed.
No. 12 Arizona State at No. 5 Penn State: This game between two teams nobody wants to play right now highlights the obvious benefits of avoiding the first round °®¶¹app“ which is still possible for both.
No. 9 Tennessee at No. 8 Ohio State: What could be worse for Ohio State fans than hearing °®¶¹appœRocky Top°®¶¹app blaring through their home stadium after a loss?
No. 11 Alabama at No. 6 Notre Dame: Bear Bryant went 0-4 vs. the Fighting Irish. Alabama won both 21st-century matchups in the playoffs.
No. 10 Indiana at No. 7 Georgia: The Hoosiers°®¶¹app™ welcome to the big time would come between the hedges.
